The lack of spring rains have carried less than 10% nutrients into the lake this year as compared to last via Maumee River. That is actual measured and credible science data.

NOAA just released a new computerized algae forecast model that uses weather and runoff data to predict the severity of the coming summer's bloom. The forecast is that this summer the bloom will be the mildest (least severe) in the last 5 years. More info is available at:

http://www.ohioseagrant.osu.edu/news/?article=483

There is also a video available of the press conference where they explained the model and what drives the algae. It has lots of good information and can be watched at:

go.osu.edu/habsforecast