I generally fish the reefs area off Besse. In my experience, if the wind is north or east you can add 1-2 ft to what the Vermillion buoy is showing. If from the south or west you can subtract 1-2 ft keeping in mind I don't venture far from shore. I don't trust the NWS forecast much - just try to use it along with other sources to determine what's happening. I like to use the various links at http://www.wbsa.us/index.php?page=denied. Also like to use iwindsurf.com and check the various stations around the west basin