North and Northeast winds are the worst by far, any amount over 10 mph and it begins to kick up some. Someone once said that every 5 mph on erie creates one foot of wave. Not an exact science, but somewhat of a gauge. Lake Erie is so hard to say. I've seen it breezy on shore, and not so bad off shore. Goofy lake to predict. I usually check the winds on South Bass and the Toledo Harbor Light and go from there. The forecast can change every 8 hours out there.

http://www.glerl.noaa.gov/metdata/tol2/

I live near the bay. You could always pm me and I can give you a feel for the weekend.

mike